Posts with tag "Google"

Quick Thoughts for 12.26.07

Pass the wine please - it's party time Another Christmas is done and the wrapping is filling up the landfills around the land. Now we all begin the ramp up to celebrating the coming New Year; and the hangovers the next morning, and throughout the blogosphere we see predictions of this and predictions of that. Lists of every kind can be founded littered about that are as likely to come true as those resolutions we all commit ourselves to at this time of the year and we all know how well they turn out in the bright light of New Years Day :)

Digg Traffic Has Questionable Value For Most Niche Publishers :: Scott Karp – a good synopsis of the value of being on especially for the more focused niche blogs.

Is Google Reader Sharing Too Much? :: Erik Schonfeld – an overview of the whole uproar over the security issues surrounding Google’s recent Sharing feature that was enabled

How to Share Items in Google Reader and Still Keep Them Private :: Steve Rubel – and on the flip side of the Google Sharing nonsense we have Steve showing how you can have your cake and eat it to.

Prediction for 2008: consumers say goodbye Microsoft – Hello Apple

changing the rules of the game. This is going to be a long term prediction much like the one that Dave Winer made with Martin Nisenholtz of the New York Times about RSS but I think that the possibility of 2008 being the beginning of when Microsoft will start to feel the shift of consumers away from both the operating system and Office suite.

While their enterprise market share will be safe for a very long time the same cannot be said for the general consumer market and while Google Apps may be the winner on the web side of things I believe the really big winner will be Apple.

I’ve been around for computers for a very long time and of that Microsoft has been my only platform; other than the occasional foray into the different flavors of Linux, for that time. I remember when Apple was declared dead and buried. I remember as well all the snickering when it was announced that Steve Jobs was returning to bring Apple back from the dead and here we are at the end of 2007 and Apple is far from being dead and buried.

As MG Siegler points out in two posts today on his ParisLemon blog Apple has sold 5 million iPhones in six months and that he believes this is just the first step to mobile computing exploding in 2008 with Apple leading the way. This may be true; and I don’t doubt that the iPhone will make us rethink the whole mobile computing landscape, but I also think that we will see a growing movement to the Mac as a preferred consumer desktop.

For this Microsoft only has themselves to blame and for a number of reasons other than the typical anti-Microsoft fanboy type of nonsense. The main reason though is because of the concentration on their enterprise business and the cash cow that it is the consumer has begun to feel like an over used hooker on a Friday night with nothing other than some bloated eye candy to show for it.

But the real blow to Microsoft had to be the release of Vista this year and the great big thud that was heard echoing everywhere in the weeks after the WOW campaign failed to get Windows users all hot and bothered. It even got to the point that Microsoft had to back step on its usual policy of killing off the previous version of Windows to OEMs. At the point when XP should have been marking its retirement date on the calendar Microsoft had to breathe some more life into it.

During all this Apple brings OS X Leopard to the marketplace and even though it too had its problems the anticipation for it was palatable with just about everyone in the tech blogosphere talking about it. This was one of the first times that I had ever seen such interest outside of the Mac community over a release.

The other big thing that has worked in Apple’s favor is the fact that with recent versions of the OS X platform the ease of being able to run Windows and all its applications from within OS X has never been simpler. No longer are users feeling tied to running just Windows in order to do what they want. Along with this is the rising popularity of the Apple laptops which have seen the largest increase in sales in the laptop market.

While Microsoft may consider its core business being corporations and their massive workforces Apple is all about the consumer. From the iPod right through to the MacBook Apple has shown that the consumer wants more than just a collection of parts that runs the latest flavor of Windows on it. Granted you can’t blame Microsoft for the ugliness of the typical PC box that gets shipped out but that doesn’t change the fact that people want something more than a utilitarian desktop.

The consumer market may only be the gravy for Microsoft’s business but that gravy is starting to seriously look elsewhere. Sure Vista maybe a stellar product but the fact is that people are coming to realize that it isn’t the only kid on the block anymore. they are beginning to see that like the iPod they can have function and form and not be consistently gouged in the pocketbook for forever growing bloated software.

They are beginning to see that they have an alternative and that is one that doesn’t require running Windows. So while Microsoft continues to chalk up its volume licensing deals with corporations the consumer is beginning to step out from the weight and expense of Windows. This consumer marketplace is Microsoft’s to lose and I only hope is that MinWin (Windows 7) is where the real WOW is and that it comes to market before the shift become more substantial.

Oh and yes I am a once Vista but now XP user and have been a faithful Microsoft customer since my first day on a computer.

Quick Thoughts for 12.18.07

WinExtra I’m going to try something a little different for the next little while by keeping a WLW window open all day and as things that catch my but don’t spark the creative juices for a full post; or are to long for the Miscellaneous Thoughts in the sidebar, I’ll add them to a daily snapshot post that I’ll post at some point in the evening.

Starting off with:

Google Embracing Unintentional Crowdsourcing :: Techdirt – a logical interpretation of Google’s 411 service.

Software Registration Keys :: Coding Horror – Jeff Atwood eloquently voices our frustration with serial numbers

The only real social networks are personal ones :: Doc Searls – for me this post by Doc Searls nails social networks

uTest Gets $1.7M for Crowd-Sourced Quality Assurance :: TechCrunch – this actually one Web 2.0 business that makes sense to me but maybe that’s just the developer in me

This whole Web 2.0 Office Suite meme is stupid

Excuse me while I show how stupid I am. Look I’m not big on on-line apps like Google Docs or Zoho and I have never hidden that fact but that doesn’t change the fact that they are here to stay and will continue to grow in full time user numbers. To suggest otherwise only proves how stupid you are and have no concept of human nature.

What is even more stupid though is that this discussion going on in the tech blogosphere is being centered around a NPD survey of 600 people. 600 frikken people and Joe Wilcox goes off the deep end declaring that the Web 2.0 office suite is dead and buried.

Joe – you are an idiot and like MG Siegler says in his post what you wrote yesterday is laughable. The market for on-line apps; whether they are office suites or other types of applications will continue to grow because a couple of fundamental reasons. The first one is that they are for the most part free and as it seems to be ingrained in our DNA we get all hot and bothered at the very mention of the word. For free stuff we will endure even half baked or semi-useful software especially if it provides just enough things to let us do what we want.

The second major influence on adoption of on-line apps is our ever growing amount of time spent on the web. whether we are at home or at work or even in between we are all becoming more interconnected through the web and we need to be able to access our information at any time regardless of where we are. Web apps give us this access and control for which we are more than willing to trade our informational soul.

The flip side of this coin is the enterprise market which Don Dodge quite rightly says:

It is fair to say that Google has its head in the clouds. (pun intended) That is a fine place to be if you are a web search company, but that is not where office productivity software is now, or will be anytime in the near future. Google’s arrogance will be its undoing. Their total reliance on internal Google engineers while ignoring customer feedback, and their lack of experience in direct sales and customer support, will not work in the business software world.

Sure I admit that desktop office suites are a bunch of bloated resource hogging pieces of software but then I don’t run a corporation with thousands of employees some of whom may not even have access to the Internet. Maybe for me and millions of people like me on-line apps are the perfect solution but to be an idiot and suggest that that market is dead because of what 600 people said is both irresponsible to your readers and shows how little you know about human nature and its use of the Internet.

600 people … jeez give me a break.